|
|
Post by huh on Jan 19, 2017 8:11:10 GMT -5
|
|
|
|
Post by huh on Jan 19, 2017 8:11:58 GMT -5
|
|
|
|
Post by huh on Jan 19, 2017 8:12:36 GMT -5
Frontrunning: January 19 Yellen speech bolsters dollar after Trump's mixed messages (Reuters) Draghi Set to Face Questions on ECB Bond Purchases (WSJ) Davos CEOs 'go local' on supply chain in Trump era (Reuters) Oil and Trump: Russians full of optimism (Reuters) Biggest Opposition Party Ready to Topple Swedish Government (BBG) The Mortgage Market’s $1 Trillion Pocket of Worry (WSJ) Ex-VW CEO Winterkorn Deflects Blame for Diesel-Cheating Scandal (BBG) George Soros, Mastercard to partner to aid migrants, refugees (Reuters) Don’t Assume Canada Will Rally With U.S., Poloz Warns Investors (BBG) Mnuchin to Address IndyMac, Tax Policy at Senate Hearing (WSJ) On Davos sidelines, banks expecting three-year transition after Brexit (Reuters) Safran to Buy Zodiac for $10 Billion in All-French Aero Deal (BBG) These Automakers Could be Trump’s Next Targets (BBG) Exclusive: Pentagon, Lockheed near deal on $9 billion F-35 contract (Reuters) How Deutsche Bank Made Minus €367 Million Disappear (BBG) Syria's Assad hopes for 'reconciliation' deals from Astana talks (Reuters) How Well Does Running Vanguard Pay? (BBG) GOP Governors Warn Lawmakers About Repeal of Affordable Care Act (WSJ) U.S exchanges rent helicopter, drape banner in pursuit of Snapchat IPO (Reuters) Netflix’s Global Growth Fuels Surge in Subscribers (WSJ) www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-01-19/frontrunning-january-19 |
|
|
|
Post by theMist on Jan 19, 2017 8:57:29 GMT -5
Good morning Fazination!!
Huh or Herceg or anyone
Are we getting more views than normal at Fazination Proboards?
I believe it was Herceg that posted that we had a new member sign up. I wish they would say hello.
?
|
|
|
|
Post by huh on Jan 19, 2017 8:58:47 GMT -5
I'm watching for Nikkei futures to fill an upside gap from 19270-19290. I still think it is in a double top formation (as a head of larger H&S) and will start down again when that gap is filled. I also think our markets will follow it, creating the same pattern. S&P major resistance still in the mid-2080's mid-2280's (top BB). NDX, DJI and XLF have a little more room %-wise to their top BB's, so S&P could overshoot some IF those are tested.  |
|
|
|
Post by Herceg on Jan 19, 2017 9:01:51 GMT -5
Good morning Fazination!! Huh or Herceg or anyone Are we getting more views than normal at Fazination Proboards? I believe it was Herceg that posted that we had a new member sign up. I wish they would say hello. ? GM Mist, Actually that was Novie |
|
|
|
Post by Herceg on Jan 19, 2017 9:02:18 GMT -5
NFLX and CSX on big moves this morning
|
|
|
|
Post by theMist on Jan 19, 2017 9:15:39 GMT -5
Huh,
I think you meant SP2280s (top BB)
|
|
|
|
Post by huh on Jan 19, 2017 9:17:52 GMT -5
Huh, I think you meant SP2280s (top BB) Uh, yep. More coffee! More coffee! |
|
|
|
Post by theMist on Jan 19, 2017 9:30:01 GMT -5
Huh, I think you meant SP2280s (top BB) Uh, yep. More coffee! More coffee! I know the feeling my friend.  BTW - when I usually wake up around 5:30am-6am EST and see futures flat, I usually just go back to bed. If I see a juicy move, I'll trade premarket. |
|
|
|
Post by walnut on Jan 19, 2017 9:32:13 GMT -5
Well, yesterday I figured out the method that they use to price Vix futures. The futures daily drop is the same exact rate as the change in the volatility. The VIX volatility was 90, the second month future contract volatility was 38, and the futures volatility is just incremented up over that period. In fact, it was so perfect that I was able to calculate the futures prices almost to the penny.
The bad news is, this was by far our best shot at discovering a scams hedge. They have all the bases covered better than I even thought. On that project I am going to have to try to forget about it.
Market timing is all there is for the scams!
|
|
|
|
Post by theMist on Jan 19, 2017 9:32:25 GMT -5
Clinton, Novie -
Not sure if it was Oscar or ITMS that made that bullish call on NetFlix. It was a good call.
|
|
|
|
Post by novie08 on Jan 19, 2017 9:57:11 GMT -5
Good morning Fazination!! Huh or Herceg or anyone Are we getting more views than normal at Fazination Proboards? I believe it was Herceg that posted that we had a new member sign up. I wish they would say hello. ? I've been B*tchin' about this for years...there have been 58 guests in the last 24 hrs. who haven't said a word; this has been going on ever since what's-their-names left. (Brian and whoever, the one with the beautiful dog, lol). |
|
|
|
Post by theMist on Jan 19, 2017 9:59:39 GMT -5
Well, yesterday I figured out the method that they use to price Vix futures. The futures daily drop is the same exact rate as the change in the volatility. The VIX volatility was 90, the second month future contract volatility was 38, and the futures volatility is just incremented up over that period. In fact, it was so perfect that I was able to calculate the futures prices almost to the penny. The bad news is, this was by far our best shot at discovering a scams hedge. They have all the bases covered better than I even thought. On that project I am going to have to try to forget about it. Market timing is all there is for the scams! Don't give up! NEO - I believe! lol |
|
|
|
Post by novie08 on Jan 19, 2017 10:10:52 GMT -5
Yellen speech bolsters dollar after Trump's mixed messages (Reuters)
Was wondering why the metals were being crushed.
UVXY FINALLY turning green; I'm the idiot holding for that gap fill. Don't forget, it was$1500 in 2012 adjusted for the 5:1 split.
|
|
|
|
Post by theMist on Jan 19, 2017 10:28:06 GMT -5
S&P is going to fall off a cliff any day now and UVXY will pop to fill that GAP. Contango is now at 9% (down from 20%) due to vix futures opex the other day.
S&P chart is leaning bearish in short term and VIX SCAMs are leaning bullish for short term quick pop.
I have a feeling tomorrow and next week is going to be a very interesting time. IMO
Jack's call for sucking in all the peeps and then pull the plug after Inauguration Day makes sense with Buy the Rumor and Sell the News for this Trump rally. lol
If market starts to realize Trump can't deliver on his promises then markets are in for a nasty little spill (especially financials) in short term. Market is priced for perfection right now.
|
|
|
|
Post by walnut on Jan 19, 2017 10:36:12 GMT -5
I have been concerned about inauguration day too. It seems like it might be a case of "sell the news". I don't want to be in the market at that time, could be volatile in either direction.
|
|
|
|
Post by walnut on Jan 19, 2017 10:43:08 GMT -5
I can't stop trying to find a trick. But if there is none to be found then it's not my fault. I actually wish I could stop thinking about it. Yesterday when I ran that experiment and saw how perfectly everything actually works it was "deflating" haha Well, yesterday I figured out the method that they use to price Vix futures. The futures daily drop is the same exact rate as the change in the volatility. The VIX volatility was 90, the second month future contract volatility was 38, and the futures volatility is just incremented up over that period. In fact, it was so perfect that I was able to calculate the futures prices almost to the penny. The bad news is, this was by far our best shot at discovering a scams hedge. They have all the bases covered better than I even thought. On that project I am going to have to try to forget about it. Market timing is all there is for the scams! Don't give up! NEO - I believe! lol |
|
|
|
Post by clinton on Jan 19, 2017 10:46:17 GMT -5
added to my GTE
USO is strong, oil sector should bounce
|
|
|
|
Post by theMist on Jan 19, 2017 10:52:42 GMT -5
Boring Day so far. Not one single trade.
And boredom can be very costly if I try to force a trade. lol
|
|
