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Post by huh on Apr 16, 2015 15:59:02 GMT -5
...Unfortunately this could be one of those stocks that just keeps going up...... NOOOOOO! Herc's been assimilated!
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Post by huh on Apr 16, 2015 17:29:04 GMT -5
I saw Cramer's video where he pumps this like it's the latest and great IPO of all time. I saw that many analysts have more than doubled their upside targets (ie. 400-900), some even before the earnings release. Not that the recent earnings would have caused that kind of upgrade anyway.
So it got me thinking. What would get the fat cats purring as much as an approaching large IPO, if not an IPO? I can only think of two things; 1) acquisition, or, 2) large secondary.
If it were an acquisition, the big $$'s talking heads definitely wouldn't be pumping it for retail traders to buy. They'd want all the shares for themselves. They want buyers for whatever's coming.
That makes me think NFLX will be coming out with a large secondary. And I'll betcha if they do that; a) at least some of the proceeds will be set aside for future insider selling at current prices (like GPRO did), and, b) it will be accompanied with a complicated stock split in order to keep the retail traders confused.
And considering the huge 50% decrease in the 2015 & 2016 eps estimates after this last earnings release, and especially with this recent quarters free cash flow drop of more than $160M (btw, that's the worst quarterly cash flow # since they went public), it all makes sense.
JMO. We'll see.
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Post by birthmark on Apr 16, 2015 17:52:55 GMT -5
I like your thinking Huh. Waiting until all this "dust" settles and then will look to short it. I'd be shocked if this hits 600.
GL
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Post by huh on Apr 17, 2015 8:43:41 GMT -5
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Post by Herceg on Apr 17, 2015 11:21:01 GMT -5
LMAO.............Like many things out there the pop should come at some point............patience, patience I say..............now where have I heard that other than the voices in my head............... JMO and BOL............
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Post by huh on Apr 24, 2015 7:19:25 GMT -5
A few days ago, NFLX was getting all the love. Now that AMZN, MSFT, GOOG & SBUX are getting all the love, NFLX is forgotten. Perhaps a little going on?
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Post by Herceg on Apr 24, 2015 8:03:38 GMT -5
A few days ago, NFLX was getting all the love. Now that AMZN, MSFT, GOOG & SBUX are getting all the love, NFLX is forgotten. Perhaps a little going on? I read last night that NFLX and REGN should be avoided at these levels.............. JMO and BOL........
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NFLX
May 8, 2015 10:16:23 GMT -5
Herceg likes this
Post by huh on May 8, 2015 10:16:23 GMT -5
NFLX breaking FIB resistance and could be building a pattern for a target ~598-600. Might get that 600 area after all. (sounds huge, but actually less than 5% from here)
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NFLX
Jun 10, 2015 8:52:30 GMT -5
Post by huh on Jun 10, 2015 8:52:30 GMT -5
For the record, I was WAAAY wrong about shorting NFLX Sorry This bad call, the one on TLT going higher, and the call for shorting NQ have been really eating at me
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Post by huh on Jun 10, 2015 9:31:28 GMT -5
For the record, I was WAAAY wrong about shorting NFLX Sorry This bad call, the one on TLT going higher, and the call for shorting NQ have been really eating at me But I've had some good calls as well So, like I tell my wife, if that ain't good enough for you, then you're expecting too much! lol
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Post by birthmark on Jun 10, 2015 9:48:52 GMT -5
I like your thinking Huh. Waiting until all this "dust" settles and then will look to short it. I'd be shocked if this hits 600. GL Speaking of bad calls... LOL I have too many to mention. And the scars to prove it!! NFLX is gonna split sooner than later IMO.
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Post by Herceg on Jun 10, 2015 10:09:39 GMT -5
I like your thinking Huh. Waiting until all this "dust" settles and then will look to short it. I'd be shocked if this hits 600. GL Speaking of bad calls... LOL I have too many to mention. And the scars to prove it!! NFLX is gonna split sooner than later IMO. They announced it a few minutes ago.............this is splitting.................I feel fortunate to eat my loss at 618 as opposed to 690..............BIG difference......... JMO and BOL...........
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NFLX
Jun 23, 2015 17:06:28 GMT -5
Post by huh on Jun 23, 2015 17:06:28 GMT -5
... There is a potential pattern to ~750. But there's so many holes (gaps) in it, it's hard to trust. Plus, I have a hard time seeing that happen unless there was a buyout... Egg on my face. I never thought it would get to that 750 without filling at least one of those gaps. Trading over 750 in AH's after a 7 for 1 stock split announcement. ...That makes me think NFLX will be coming out with a large secondary. And I'll betcha if they do that; a) at least some of the proceeds will be set aside for future insider selling at current prices (like GPRO did), and, b) it will be accompanied with a complicated stock split in order to keep the retail traders confused... We'll see
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NFLX
Jun 24, 2015 13:23:32 GMT -5
huh likes this
Post by Herceg on Jun 24, 2015 13:23:32 GMT -5
I believe I heard Icahn was selling his NFLX.............
JMO and BOL......
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NFLX
Jun 24, 2015 13:58:50 GMT -5
Post by huh on Jun 24, 2015 13:58:50 GMT -5
I hope the thing crashes, then I wouldn't feel as bad at being wrong about it. And I meant it was trading over 700 in AH's last night, not 750. DOH!
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